Germany is 1.046km away from Italy whilst the United Kingdom (UK) is 1,990km from Italy but Germany is far less hit the coronavirus pandemic (death-wise) than the UK – Africa may need to take a few notes from Germany.
As at today March 26 (17:00 CAT), global cases of coronavirus stands at 491,280 with 22,166 and 888 new deaths. Italy has recorded 74, 386 with 7,503 deaths. UK is at 9,529 cases and 465 deaths while Germany 40,421 cases and a minute 229 deaths. The recorded cases in Germany cases is four times higher than the UK but the number of death recorded about half of the UK.
First, Germany has aggressively testing its population from the outset. This allowed the country to identify persons otherwise too well to come to medical attention. This will then water down the tested pool with a large set of infected but otherwise well people who are likely to remain so.
Authorities in Germany are not relaxed but rather nervous that the wave of the very sick will appear in Germany in the coming weeks. This may lead to a rise in mortality rate in Germany.
A popular theory says the first cases in Germany were older adults who had used an early spring vacation to go skiing in countries that turned out to have high rates of Covid-19.
If the German cases are in older people who were fit enough to ski, this means they were without other ailments that would have made them vulnerable to Covid-19 related death. This means good quality of life helps fight coronavirus.
According to a CNN report, for an objective analysis we may ask the following:
“Is the virus different here versus there? NO.
Is one country diagnosing the virus sooner than another? YES. As above, this may be skewing German and South Korean results by identifying asymptomatic and mildly symptomatic persons unlikely to require medical care. Hospitalization rates by country, currently not tracked, would help sort out the contribution of aggressive testing to survival rates.
Is the infected patient different here versus there? YES. South Korea (young patients) and Italy (old patients) are unique in the outbreak, and the characteristics in Iran are not well known. All other countries with specific information, from China to even the US epicenter of New York City, have shown the same basic distribution with respect to age, sex (more men than women) and smoking.
Is the health care system different here versus there? OH YES. Health care system differences at the country level are hard to examine: information is sparse and, given the 50,000-foot view, possibly misleading. However, health care experts typically can rely on “structural measures” to determine the quality of a hospital or a state or a country”.
Obviously, Africa lags behind in up-to-the-minute medical facilities – even aggressive testing requires adequate facilities – Africa may need to explore traditional solutions during this critical times.